Episodes
Episodes
Sunday Jun 04, 2023
What Interest Rate Should You Take In 2023?
Sunday Jun 04, 2023
Sunday Jun 04, 2023
Welcome to the Make Money Count podcast, brought to you by Cannect Home Financing, your trusted mortgage broker in Toronto, Canada.
In this episode, we delve into the current state of the Canadian housing market and explore the factors that may contribute to a potential rise in interest rates. Join us as we discuss the impact of higher interest rates on Canadian consumers and address the challenges in meeting the housing demand. Additionally, we touch upon recent successes in the stock market and provide practical advice for Canadian homeowners.
We'll try to provide practical advice specifically tailored to Canadian homeowners. From managing mortgage payments to exploring refinancing options, we offer actionable tips to help homeowners make the most of their investments. Whether you're a first-time buyer or a seasoned homeowner, these valuable insights can guide you in making informed decisions to optimize your financial well-being.
We will also explore various aspects of the Canadian housing market, including its current status, the potential rise in interest rates, the impact on consumers, challenges in housing supply, recent stock market successes, and practical advice for mortgage planning. By equipping listeners with knowledge and expert perspectives, Cannect Home Financing aims to empower individuals to make informed decisions and navigate the ever-changing financial landscape with confidence.
Stay tuned for more episodes of Make Money Count, where we continue to explore topics related to personal finance, investment strategies, and the Canadian real estate market. Remember, when it comes to your financial future, every decision counts.
Transcript: What Interest Rate Should Canadians Take In 2023 - Make Money Count 063 Transcript
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Wednesday May 17, 2023
Is Inflation Creeping Back Into The Canadian Economy?
Wednesday May 17, 2023
Wednesday May 17, 2023
The finance podcast hosted by the team with the lowest Home Equity Loan returns with another episode of Make Money Count! The latest podcast episode centers around the recent inflation reading and its implications for the Canadian housing market.
Inflation
The inflation rate came in higher than expected. Driven primarily by increases in shelter costs such as rental rates and mortgage interest. This has created a cyclical effect where inflation causes increased interest rates, leading to higher debt servicing costs and rising rental prices. The conversation also touches on the likelihood of the Bank of Canada increasing interest rates again and the impact on five-year fixed mortgage rates. As the housing market remains resilient with climbing prices and transactions. It is expected that interest rates will stay elevated for a longer duration, prompting consumers to consider fixed-rate mortgages over variable-rate options.
Supply & Demand
The discussion continues around the factors influencing the impact of supply and interest rates on housing prices. The lack of supply is a key reason for the increase in prices. The longer interest rates remain high, the higher the probability of more supply entering the market. The availability of supply will be the determining factor in whether prices go down. If banks change their approach to borrowers who are struggling to meet new payment terms, more properties could hit the market.
Clients who took shorter-term mortgages during COVID and now face higher interest rates may consider selling their properties. The conversation shifts to the influence of the media frenzy on housing prices. It is acknowledged that the media coverage created fear among people, discouraging them from taking action in the market.
The trend of stretching out amortization and moving up the property ladder will change, with some suggesting that people may be stuck in their homes longer, waiting for equity and lower amortization. However, that stability in housing prices has been maintained, and once interest rates drop and costs increase, the market dynamics could return to a similar pattern.
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Transcript: Is Inflation Creeping Back Into The Canadian Economy - Make Money Count 062
Saturday Apr 29, 2023
Will Interest Rates Cause Mortgage Defaults In Canada?
Saturday Apr 29, 2023
Saturday Apr 29, 2023
The team behind Toronto's best home equity lenders is back with another edition of Make Money Count! In this episode, Marcus is joined by Rina DiRisio, a skilled real estate agent with 30 years in the industry.
Interest Rates
The Canadian housing market has been a topic of much discussion and debate, with concerns about affordability, supply, and demand at the forefront of many conversations. Marcus and Rina highlight some of the key issues currently facing the market, including worries about supply and the impact of interest rates. Did you know 20% of all mortgages currently held by banks are not servicing the interest on their mortgage? This could lead to a greater supply issue if banks become worried about holding the line. This concern is compounded by the fact that many of these mortgages have amortization exceeding 35 years. Which could lead to negative equity positions for homeowners.
Housing Supply
These concerns about supply are not unfounded. Higher rates could lead to an increase in mortgage defaults, which could in turn lead to a surplus of supply. This could be particularly problematic in areas where there is already a high level of inventory on the market. Marcus and Rina's conversation highlight the delicate balance between supply and demand in the Canadian housing market.
While demand for homes remains strong, there are concerns about the ability of the market to continue to supply enough homes to meet this demand. This is particularly true in areas with high levels of inventory. Where rising interest rates could lead to a decrease in demand and an oversupply of homes.
What's Ahead?
One potential solution to these issues is to increase the supply of new homes on the market. This could be achieved through various measures, including changes to zoning laws, increased incentives for developers, and the creation of new affordable housing units. By increasing the supply of homes on the market, it may be possible to alleviate some of the concerns around affordability and supply, while also ensuring that demand for homes remains strong.
Another potential solution is to address some of the underlying issues that are contributing to the current state of the market. This could include measures to address income inequality and the wealth gap, making it easier for more Canadians to afford homes. It could also involve greater investment in public infrastructure. Making it easier for people to access jobs and other opportunities outside of major urban centers.
Ultimately, the Canadian housing market is facing a complex set of challenges that will require a multifaceted approach to solve. We need to address both the supply and demand side of the equation. By working to address the underlying issues that are contributing to the current state of the market, it may be possible to create a more sustainable, equitable, and affordable housing market in Canada.
Show Notes:
- 0:00 Introduction
- 4:30 Predictions for future Interest Rates
- 5:45 Russians Prank Call Jermaine Powell
- 10:03 Discussing the busiest Real Estate Month
- 10:49 Pros and cons of listing your house for sale versus buying a new one.
- 12:25 Real Estate Trends from the 1980s:
- 17:40 How bank defaults can impact the real estate market
- 19:32 Marcus compares Canadian Banks to Braveheart
- 25:10 Benefits of banking with Canadian banks
- 27:15 Marcus and Rina make a bet about the real estate market in one year from now.
- 30:15 Discussing Rina’s most expensive house sold
- 33:00 Telling you how to Succeed as a Real Estate Agent
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Thursday Apr 13, 2023
Interest Rates & Luxury Estates with Peter Philip Papousek
Thursday Apr 13, 2023
Thursday Apr 13, 2023
Ontario's best mortgage broker, Cannect Home Financing, returns with another episode of Make Money Count. This episode breaks down the Bank of Canada's April 2023 Monetary Policy Report. We also sit with Peter Philip Papousek of Team Papousek, who is in the Top 25 Real Estate Teams in Remax Canada and one of the country's best luxury real estate agents.
Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report
Let's talk about inflation. The report shows that prices for things like food, gas, and housing have been going up, and that's not good news for our wallets. Supply chain disruptions and increased demand are some of the reasons behind it. However, the report also says that the central bank expects inflation to ease in the next few months, which is a bit of a relief.
Another thing to keep an eye on is government spending. With the new Canadian budget announcement, the government is due to spend a lot of money. While it has helped support businesses and households, there are concerns about the long-term impact on inflation and the overall economy.
Interest rates are also important to understand. The report suggests that interest rates will likely stay the same until the end of the year, which means borrowing money might not get more expensive for now. However, it's worth noting that previous interest rate increases could still affect the economy, and some Canadian banks are allowing mortgages to run, which could add to the challenges we face as Canadians.
Let's meet Peter Philip Papousek
Peter Philip Papousek is a real estate agent associated with RE/MAX in Mississauga, Ontario, with a wealth of expertise in the local market, making him the go-to professional for all your real estate needs.
What sets Peter apart is his impressive track record, including the record sale of a high-priced home in Mississauga. His exceptional negotiation skills and market insights have earned him a reputation for delivering outstanding results for his clients. Peter's commitment to excellence and personalized approach ensures that he goes above and beyond to exceed his client's expectations.
But Peter's expertise isn't just about numbers and sales. Real estate is a family affair for Peter, as his father was also involved in the business. Peter's deep-rooted passion for real estate and his family's legacy is evident in his unwavering dedication to his clients and his genuine care for their real estate needs.
Whether you're looking into buying luxury real estate, are a seasoned real estate investor, or looking to sell your property, Peter Philip Papousek is the trusted professional you can count on. Contact him today to experience his unparalleled service and expertise in helping you achieve your real estate goals.
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Friday Apr 07, 2023
How Do World Issues Affect Interest Rates?
Friday Apr 07, 2023
Friday Apr 07, 2023
Are you curious about how world issues can impact interest rates? Well, buckle up, because the best mortgage brokers in the business return, helping you to understand this connection. An essential part of managing your finances.
Simply put, world issues, such as economic instability or geopolitical tensions, can ripple effects on interest rates. For example, if there is a global economic downturn, central banks may lower interest rates to stimulate borrowing and spending. This can make it easier for you to get a loan, but these times typically don't last long.
On the other hand, if inflation becomes a concern, central banks raise interest rates to make borrowing more expensive and slow economic growth. This can make it harder to get a loan.
It's also worth noting that world issues can affect different interest rates in different ways. For instance, the Federal Reserve sets the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate that banks charge each other for overnight loans. This rate can have a significant impact on other interest rates, such as credit card interest rates, student loan interest rates, and mortgage rates.
Additionally, international events can impact exchange rates, which can, in turn, affect interest rates. For example, if a country's currency depreciates, it may become more expensive to import goods, which can lead to higher inflation and higher interest rates.
Why should you care?
So, why should you care about this? Well, for starters, if you're planning on taking out a mortgage in the near future, understanding how world issues can impact interest rates can help you make informed decisions about when and how to borrow. If interest rates are high, you may want to hold off on refinancing until they come down. In the meantime, a home equity loan is probably better for you.
Similarly, if you're looking to save money, it's essential to pay attention to interest rates. If you're trying to build an emergency fund, for example, you'll want to look for a savings account with a high-interest rate so that your money can grow faster.
Overall, while world issues may seem far removed from your everyday life, they can have a significant impact on your finances. By staying informed about global events and understanding how they can impact interest rates, you'll be better equipped to make smart financial decisions.
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Monday Apr 03, 2023
Canada’s 2023 Budget and the Fall of Silicon Valley Bank
Monday Apr 03, 2023
Monday Apr 03, 2023
Welcome back to Make Money Count, the podcast by the best mortgage brokers in the GTA, Cannect Home Financing. In this latest episode, we discuss the details of the Canadian 2023 Budget Announcement and the fall of Silicon Valley Bank. Buckle up, because it's a wild ride!
Silicon Valley Bank grew its deposits significantly, largely due to the tech companies and venture capitalists in Silicon Valley. They needed to put that capital to work to earn a yield on those deposits, so they invested in what they perceived to be low-risk bonds. However, when deposit holders wanted to withdraw their money, the bank had to liquidate those bonds, which resulted in a loss. This loss was so significant that it exceeded the bank's market capitalization, putting the bank in a vulnerable position.
Peter Thiel, a well-known venture capitalist, instructed companies to take their money out of the bank, which led to a run on the bank as word got out. The FDIC backstopped the bank, which meant that depositors were not supposed to lose their money, but anything over $250,000 was supposed to be gone. However, the FDIC is a fund paid into by banks, not taxpayers, and the decision was made to backstop all deposits.
The main takeaway from this crisis is that banks can be vulnerable if they don't have a sufficient capital buffer to absorb losses from their investments. Additionally, media outlets like CNBC may not always provide information that helps predict market events, as they may only report on events after they happen.
The Canadian 2023 budget has been criticized by some, including Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who called it a "spending bonanza" that will fuel inflation and harm taxpayers. Others have criticized the budget for not addressing the housing crisis in Canada, which has become a pressing issue in many urban centers. The Residential Construction Council of Ontario, for example, said that the budget does not fully address the systemic problems delaying the construction of much-needed housing.
Overall, the 2023 Canadian federal budget is a bold attempt to address some of the most pressing issues facing the country today. While it may not be perfect, it will be interesting to see how these measures play out over the coming years.
We dive into all these topics and more on the latest episode of Make Money Count. Be sure to subscribe on your favorite platform!
Tuesday Mar 07, 2023
Insights for Investors: Navigating a Potential Stagflationary Crisis
Tuesday Mar 07, 2023
Tuesday Mar 07, 2023
This episode does not constitute as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. See Offering Memorandum for details and risks. As of February 15, 2023, average return is 8.14% annualized since inception with DRIP and loan to value ratio is 52.3%.
The global economy is facing an unprecedented crisis, one that combines the worst aspects of both the 1970s-style stagflation and the 2008 debt crisis. This new phenomenon, known as the stagflationary crisis, is characterized by a combination of high inflation and low economic growth. In this article, we will discuss what a stagflationary crisis is and how it combines aspects of both.
We will also examine the potential responses of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada to the crisis, as well as provide advice for investors on how to protect themselves against a potential recession, debt crisis, and out-of-control inflation. Finally, we will take a closer look at how rising mortgage rates have impacted housing affordability in Canada and what steps the bank is taking to monitor and proactively reach out to clients at higher risk of financial stress.
What is a Stagflationary Crisis?
A stagflationary crisis is a unique economic phenomenon that combines the characteristics of both stagflation and a debt crisis. Stagflation is a situation where an economy experiences stagnant economic growth and high inflation. In contrast, a debt crisis occurs when many borrowers default on their debts, causing widespread financial instability. The stagflationary crisis combines these two problems. The result is a situation where the economy experiences high inflation and low growth, while simultaneously facing a debt crisis.
How will the Bank of Canada Respond?
Historically, the Bank of Canada might respond to a potential debt crisis, stock market crash, or explosion in debt defaults by implementing a series of monetary policies. These policies may include lowering interest rates, purchasing government bonds, and providing liquidity to financial institutions. The ultimate goal of these policies would be to stimulate economic growth while keeping inflation under control. However, with inflation at its current levels, this may not be an option for the Bank of Canada for some time.
Investor Strategies for Navigating the Crisis
As an investor, there are several steps you can take to protect yourself against the potential recession, debt crisis, and out-of-control inflation. One strategy is to diversify your investment portfolio to minimize risk. Another approach is to invest in assets that tend to perform well during times of economic crisis. An investment like gold, or in mortgage investment funds, such as the Cannect MIC.
Comparison of the Actions of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada
The actions of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada during the crisis have been similar in many respects, with both central banks implementing a variety of monetary policies to stabilize the economy. However, there have been some key differences between the two banks, such as the Fed's preoccupation with contemporaneous and lagging economic indicators, which carries risks.
Impact of Rising Interest Rates on Variable-Rate Mortgage Holders
The rising interest rate has had a significant impact on variable-rate mortgage holders, with many experiencing higher monthly payments. However, the percentage of Canadians with variable rates is relatively low, with most opting for fixed-rate mortgages instead. But are banks taking steps to monitor and proactively reach out to clients at higher risk of financial stress? That is yet to be seen.
In conclusion
The potential risks of recession, debt crisis, and inflation are on the minds of many investors and economists today. However, by remaining disciplined, diversified, and focused on long-term goals, investors may be better positioned to weather short-term market volatility. Additionally, it is worth monitoring the impact of rising mortgage rates on the Canadian housing market and considering the actions and approaches of central banks like the Fed and the Bank of Canada.
Finally, investment opportunities such as the Cannect MIC thrive during times like these as property owners look for ways to access equity and get them through this economic time.
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0:00 - Intro1:12 - CIBC and eroding equity from mortgages6:17 – How is the Bank of Canada making decisions for interest rates?9:25 – Minimum wage and inflation12:03 – US vs Canada inflation strategies13:50 – Affects on the Housing Market19:00 – When’s the right time to buy?23:09 – Stagflation25:09 - Nouriel Roubini and the Perfect Storm35:15 – Cannect MIC vs Mutual Funds42:36 – What’s going to happen next?48:53 – Is this the new normal?
Friday Feb 17, 2023
How To Renew Your Mortgage In 2023 With Current High Interest Rates
Friday Feb 17, 2023
Friday Feb 17, 2023
Welcome back to Make Money Count, hosted by the best mortgage brokers in the GTA, Cannect!
If your mortgage is up for renewal soon, you may be feeling anxious about the possibility of renewing your mortgage in a high interest rate environment. While it's true that interest rates have risen over the past year, there are still ways you can secure a mortgage with a low interest rate. In this blog post, we'll share some tips on how to renew your mortgage in a high interest rate environment.
First, it's important to shop around for the best mortgage rate. Don't simply accept the renewal rate offered by your current lender without doing some research first. By shopping around and comparing rates from different lenders, you can find a better deal that will save you money in the long run.
Second, consider getting a shorter mortgage term. While a longer term may seem more appealing, a shorter term can actually help you save money in the long run. A shorter term means you'll pay off your mortgage sooner and will likely have a lower interest rate.
Finally, consider speaking to a mortgage agent to discuss your options. At Cannect, we offer a range of mortgage solutions that can help you save money on your mortgage. In our recent podcast, we discussed some of these solutions in more detail, so be sure to check it out.
RRSP Contribution
Additionally, we also want to remind our readers to contribute to their RRSP before March 1st. By contributing to your RRSP, you can reduce your taxable income and save money on your taxes. This can be especially helpful if you're worried about your mortgage payments in a high interest rate environment.
Renewing your mortgage in a high interest rate environment can be stressful, but by following these tips and consulting with a mortgage agent, you can find a mortgage solution that works for you. Don't forget to check out our podcast for more information and to contribute to your RRSP before March 1st to save money on your taxes.0:00 - Intro1:53 - Firms – The canary in the coal mine4:51 - Strength in Toronto real estate8:28 - Phil’s suggestion for managing higher mortgage interestrates – Start the conversation14:08 - Viewer question – My mortgage payments have doubled – What can Ido?19:00 – Increasing amortization to mitigate the impact ofthe debt servicing payment22:06 - Why selling may not be the best option to escapehigh mortgage payments26:51 – Viewer question – Renewal offers are terrible – Isit possible to transfer my mortgage somewhere else?29:00 – Potential discounted rates when moving mortgages betweenlenders32:32 – Viewer question – I have a good fixed rate but wantto leverage my home’s equity for renovations, is there a way to do this withoutlosing my rate?35:03 – Marcus updates Phil on the state of Cannect MIC41:25 – Phil’s thoughts on Cannect MIC
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Thursday Jan 26, 2023
Economic Update: Inflation, Interest Rates, and Housing Prices
Thursday Jan 26, 2023
Thursday Jan 26, 2023
Toronto's best mortgage brokers are back with another episode of the Make Money Count Podcast. In this episode Marcus and Justin give an update to the economic responses of 2022. The topics of discussion: Inflation Surges, Interest Rates Rise, and the Housing Market Correction.
Overall, 2022 was a year of rapid tightening and inflation, with the economy remaining strong but certain indicators pointing towards a potential recession. The housing market also saw a correction, with affordability challenges leading to a rising outflow of residents from Toronto.
Follow along on the charts by visiting the episode page.
If you are in need of a home equity loan, Cannect should be your first contact.
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Sunday Dec 18, 2022
Real Estate Insights with Matt & Ben Realtor Ben Ferguson
Sunday Dec 18, 2022
Sunday Dec 18, 2022
Welcome to another episode of Make Money Count, the podcast from the best mortgage brokers in the GTA.
As mortgage professionals, we know that this industry can be highly competitive and fast-paced. That's why it's important to have a strong team by your side, whether it's a group of brokers working together or a business partner you can rely on.
In this episode of our podcast, we were joined by Ben Ferguson, a top real estate agent with Matt & Ben Toronto Real Estate Team. A good friend who has been in the industry for over 20 years. As we reminisced about our careers, we realized that our friendship and mutual trust have been integral to Cannect's success in the mortgage industry.
Working with someone you enjoy being around and who you trust can make all the difference in the daily challenges and long-term goals of any industry. When you have a supportive team, it's easier to navigate the complex world of mortgage lending and take advantage of opportunities to grow your business.
But strong business partnerships aren't just about having someone to share the workload with. A mentor or someone to bounce ideas off of can also be invaluable in the mortgage industry. In our experience, good communication and collaboration are key to building a successful mortgage brokerage, or real estate team.
Ultimately, building strong, supportive relationships is essential in the real estate and mortgage industries. Whether it's a team of brokers or a long-term business partner, having a group of people you trust and enjoy working with can lead to long-term success and make the journey more enjoyable.
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Thursday Dec 08, 2022
Home Buyer Incentives & Pre-Construction Prices
Thursday Dec 08, 2022
Thursday Dec 08, 2022
Welcome to our episode on Canada's down payment assistance program and current pre-construction home prices! Cannect, Toronto's best mortgage brokerage, are here to provide you with all the information you need to make the best decision for your financial future. Whether you're considering a pre-construction home or looking for assistance with your down payment, we're here to help. With our expertise and knowledge of the Canadian mortgage market, we help you navigate the process and find the best solution for your needs.
On The Show...
Down Payment Assistance
Canada's Down Payment Assistance Program is a government-funded program designed to help Canadians purchase their first home. The program provides a grant of up to 5% of the purchase price of a home, or up to $25,000, whichever is less. The grant is available to first-time home-buyers with a household income of less than $120,000 per year. The grant is intended to help cover the cost of a down payment, closing costs, and other expenses associated with purchasing a home. The program is administered by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). We cover it all in detail in the episode.
Pre-Construction Homes
Further on the show we discuss if it's a good time to buy a pre-construction home. The uncertainty in the real estate market has people questioning. Pre-construction homes are often sold with a lot of assumptions. Therefore, some projections may not be that accurate in the current market. Additionally, the process of buying a pre-construction home can be complex and lengthy. It may be difficult to get financing. Finally, the value of the home may not appreciate as quickly as anticipated, leaving you with a property that is worth less than what you paid for it.
We invite you to listen to the podcast, where we discuss the ins and outs of down payment assistance programs. With the right knowledge, you can make the best decision for your home-buying journey.
Show Notes:
Attachments:First Time Home Buyers InformationMake Money Count 053 Transcript
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Friday Nov 25, 2022
Renting vs. Buying a Home in Toronto’s Housing Market
Friday Nov 25, 2022
Friday Nov 25, 2022
The best mortgage brokers in Toronto return! This week Marcus & Justin debate renting vs buying a home in this current market. With how much housing prices have declined and how much rental rates have risen, we have a question. Is it now cheaper to buy a property and build equity rather than paying all-time high rent prices? No matter the market, it is essential to examine these opportunities on a case by case basis. Have a listen to the episode to learn the math to help make the decision easier.
The Math
The team looks at an example in downtown Toronto where the monthly rent is $3000 and the purchase price is listed at $489,000. After putting 5% down as a first time buyer; a 5 year fixed rate of 4.8%; $1,292 in property taxes; and maintenance fees of $329 a month: you arrive at a monthly average cost of $3,192 a month. This is not much more than the $3,000 rent and you build equity at the same time.
We also discuss the over-reactions of the central banks when it came to stimulating the economy during COVID. They are now over correcting it with rapid rate hikes. This is what has put real estate prices in a difficult position. They rose to unattainable levels and now are falling back to earth. This will have tough consequences for those who purchased at all time highs and now are servicing the debt at unaffordable levels. Only once inflation slows down will the central banks pause these rate hikes and then pivot in the other direction.
Whether you're new to the city or you've been here for years, this video is a must-watch! We'll be discussing the latest trends in the Toronto housing market, and giving you advice on how to make the most of your investment.
Make sure to watch to the end to find out which option is best for you!
0:00 - Intro1:59 - Buy vs Rent example #1: 20 Joe Shuster Way7:41 - How will the economics impacting the Buy vs Rent debate change in the foreseeable future?14:32 - You have more to look forward to when buying if values are low and rates are high vs values being high and rates being low.17:58 - You need to look at the Buy vs Rent decision on a case by case basis, but there are many attractive buying opportunities.20:41 - Does Marcus own rental properties? The last 20 years has been an incredible bull run.24:32 - Central Banks overshot way too far with stimulus and now they are overshooting way too far with rate hikes.29:05 - Private Equity deals have dropped as well due to the increased cost of capital required to finance the purchases. Will that turn around soon?
Document: Buying Vs Renting In Toronto - Nov 2022
Transcript: Make Money Count 052 Transcript
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Thursday Nov 17, 2022
4 Reasons You Should Buy A Home During A Recession
Thursday Nov 17, 2022
Thursday Nov 17, 2022
Toronto's best mortgage brokerage, Cannect Home Financing, returns with episode 051 of Make Money Count. This week, Marcus and Justin outline four reasons to buy a home during a recession. It may seem scary to take the completely opposite path of everyone else, but it can prove to be a great decision in the long run. Have a listen to this episode to hear these great reasons.
1. The Math
Over the last two years, interest rates have gone up drastically, which has made it much less affordable to buy real estate and service the debt on it. However, if the purchase price drops enough to counter this rate increase, you'll find that the math could balance it out. If you were willing to purchase a property when the 5-year fixed rate was 2.5%, how far does the price have to drop for you to still want to purchase when the 5-year fixed rate goes up to 5.5%?
Well, on a $500K mortgage, this extra 3% of interest is equal to $15K per year. Over the 5-year term, that is $75K, or 15% of the mortgage amount. This means that if you can purchase the property for 15% less than you were willing to pay for it a few years ago, it would negate the cost of the interest rate increase.
2. Long-term success
You make money when you buy something, not when you sell it. If you make a purchase when prices are lower, you are likely to set yourself up well for the future when others buy it from you. Over the long-term, property values trend upwards. So similarly to stock purchases, "buying on the dip" will set you up for success.
3. You have your pick of the litter
During a recession, the supply of housing available tends to exceed the demand. This means you don't have to settle for the wrong house because there aren't enough affordable options available. When supply exceeds demand, it means that there is more to choose from. Conversely, this leads to a lack of bidding wars and gets you much better price. No more buying a house next to the train station because it was the only affordable place you could find with a spacious backyard. During a recession, you'll be able to get that corner house you've always been dreaming of.
4. The process is less stressful
When the housing market is strong, it's actually a tough time to be a buyer. People line up to place offers on home, they sell in the blink of an eye, and they end up going way above asking price. During a recession, the tables turn. Agents are begging prospective buyers to check out an open house. The visits are on your schedule, not theirs. You can also take your time submitting an offer without fearing the home will be sold before you even leave the open house. If you can handle the stress of market uncertainty, the tradeoff will be much less stress in the home buying process.
It won't be easy to buy real estate in a recession, but was it easy to buy before the recession either? Buying a home has to be done when the time is right and a recession should not scare you away.
Episode Transcript: Make Money Count 051 Transcript - 4 Reasons To Buy A Home During A Recession
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Thursday Nov 10, 2022
5 Ways To Make Money In A Recession
Thursday Nov 10, 2022
Thursday Nov 10, 2022
It's the 50th episode of your favorite podcast Make Money Count! Toronto's best mortgage brokerage, Cannect Home Financing, outlines 5 ways you can make money during a recession. Investing during uncertain times can be scary, but when done properly and with the right research, there are still opportunities to make money. Always make sure you carefully evaluate the options and think about your specific goals and time horizon. Have a listen to the semi-centennial episode to hear them!
1. Buy Good Stocks
A lot of stocks have taken a beating over the last year, but some of these companies are still very profitable and will come out of this recession strong. Even some of the bigger names like Amazon and Meta are down over 50% from their all-time highs. This is one of the most fundamental rules of investing: buy low, sell high!
2. Invest in Property
If you can handle the increased carrying costs facing real estate investors today and have a long term time horizon, similarly to buying good stocks, this is a good time to buy that property you've been eying at a discounted price.
3. Invest in Cannect MIC
Cannect Mortgage Investment Corporation has been preparing for tough times like this since inception. We motivationally align borrowers and investors by lending to good borrowers at a conservative LTV that have a probable and reliable exit strategy from the loan. This has resulted in a consistent return for our investors over the last ten years.
4. Short the Market
Market prices and dividends have historically yielded a positive return, but if you own stocks, real estate, or other market-correlated assets, shorting the market using puts or other investment methods can act as a hedge for your overall market exposure. It is also just a good way to make bets on short-term market downturns.
5. Start a Business
A lot of it comes down to the idea, startup costs, and execution, but starting the foundations of a new business during a recession can allow it to thrive when the economy turns around again.
Marcus also goes into the importance of investing in yourself. Whether it is going to school or starting a business, a recession is a great time to make an investment in yourself. It's one that will always pay dividends.
As stated in the episode, Cannect is not a financial advisory firm and the topics discussed do not constitute financial advice.
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Friday Nov 04, 2022
Why Now is a Great Time to Invest in the Cannect MIC
Friday Nov 04, 2022
Friday Nov 04, 2022
Toronto's best mortgage brokers return for another episode of Make Money Count. They discuss how certain factors like delinquencies and rental rates may assist in stabilizing values with increased interest rates. They then dive into how the Cannect Mortgage Investment Corporation (MIC) has been prepared for economic conditions like these for a while due to conservative loan-to-values and prioritization of exit strategies. Have a listen to learn more about the current state of our mortgage fund.
It's the tough times like these that show how prudently MICs have been lending. Many are currently unable to lend because their funds are tied up into deals with no exit strategy. When the only exit is default, it is very difficult for not only the borrower, but the lender too. When deciding which MIC to invest in, give them a call and ask the tough questions like how often do they stress test for LTVs; how do they arrive at property values for their loans? If these answers don't satisfy you, the cloudy days will be extra cloudy for these funds.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prospective investors should rely solely on the Fund’s Offering Memorandum, which outlines the risk factors in making a decision to invest. Cannect MIC shares are sold through our exempt market dealer, Meadowbank Asset Management Inc. Not CDIC insured.
Attachments:
Cannect MIC Investment Stats
Make Money Count 049 Transcript
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Friday Oct 28, 2022
Bank of Canada Raise Interest Rates, Again!
Friday Oct 28, 2022
Friday Oct 28, 2022
The best mortgage brokers in Canada, Cannect Home Financing returns with Make Money Count episode 048!
In this episode, we'll discuss the Bank of Canada's decision to raise interest rates again, and what this means for you as a consumer. We'll also discuss how you can make money count in the current economy by using smart financial planning strategies.
As a listener, you may be wondering what this means for the economy as a whole. The Bank of Canada has raised interest rates again, indicating that they are somewhat concerned about the inflation rate in Canada. This may mean higher prices for you as a consumer in the short term, but it also means that you should be aware of financial planning strategies that can help you make money count in the current economy.
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Wednesday Oct 12, 2022
Recession Outlook: Inflation, Interest Rates, and Unemployment
Wednesday Oct 12, 2022
Wednesday Oct 12, 2022
Toronto's best mortgage brokers, Cannect Home Financing, return for episode 47 of Make Money Count. In this episode we discuss the latest employment numbers in the U.S. and Canada. These strong numbers might be bad for the respective economies. If this sounds like it's backwards to you, don't worry you are not alone. Have a listen to the episode to get the breakdown from the experts.
We examine the historical rises of real residential property prices over time. The typical cause for the periods of strength has been cheap money. While we are definitely not seeing that right now. There are still many other solid macroeconomic trends that could keep the housing market afloat during these high interest rate times. Immigration, lack of supply, and yes, strong employment numbers could try to keep the market from falling further.
Questions from this episode involve seeking capital from alternative lenders and borrowing money to invest in real estate. Pricing from alternative lenders is starting to go up. Lenders are seeing what is going on in the economy right now and they are nervous, even with well-qualified borrowers. These are situations where borrowers should be calling Cannect to make sure, as Justin says, they don't put themselves in the box the banks create for them. When it comes to accessing equity to buy real estate, make sure you think about the type of real estate you are buying and your time horizon. With interest rates this high and still on the rise, this is more important now than ever.
If you're looking for a stable investment to get you through these economic hardships, take a look at the Cannect Mortgage Fund.
0:00 - Introduction0:47 - What is the downside of a strong US job market right now?3:22 - The Canadian job market is higher than expected as well. Inflation is still hot.4:21 - The economy needs increased labour participation, and even unemployment, in order to reduce inflation.8:51 - The trends of real residential property prices in Canada: the rises are from cheap money.9:32 - There are still many favourable macroeconomic trends for Canadian real estate.11:27 - Alternative lenders are starting to get stingy with pricing, even for well-qualified borrowers.17:00 - Looking to buy real estate? Consider the type of real estate you are buying and the time horizon.21:36 - No matter how high mortgage rates get, taking equity out of your home to pay down credit card debt will save you money and help your credit rating.
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Friday Oct 07, 2022
Inverted Bond Yield Curve & Why the US Dollar is Rising
Friday Oct 07, 2022
Friday Oct 07, 2022
Toronto's best mortgage brokers, Cannect Home Financing, return with Make Money Count. We explain what an Inverted Bond Yield Curve is, and why the US Dollar is rising as we head into a recession.
Marcus Tzaferis and Justin Turner take the listeners through a few positive economic indicators. According to an article on Barron's, we may be seeing a peak in bond yields and the US dollar index. If this is the case, it could be a precursor to a rally for US markets. Why is this?
Listen to the episode to find out!
This cautious optimism entirely depends on inflation and the direction central bankers take. To show how quickly times have changed, the United Nations advised central banks around the world to pause rate hikes. This isn't unprecedented, but it is very rare. People are already feeling the impact of these rate hikes and for some countries this means hardship. As a result, for developing nations, it means people can't put food on the table.
Your favourite brokers also answer some questions regarding home equity loans during these times of high interest rates. If you are looking to access equity, you need to carefully weigh the market uncertainty. First, weigh the premiums that come with it against the possibility of equity erosion if you wait too long. Second, borrowing to invest also needs to be done carefully right now. Given how high rates are right now, you need to be very confident.
The value and growth potential of the investment needs to justify the cost of borrowing. Similarly, some equities are at huge discounts right now. However, these opportunities still need to be evaluated carefully.
If you're looking for a stable investment to get you through these economic hardships, take a look at the Cannect Mortgage Fund.
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Thursday Sep 29, 2022
How To Get A Mortgage For Self Employed People
Thursday Sep 29, 2022
Thursday Sep 29, 2022
Toronto's best mortgage brokers, Cannect Home Financing, returns with episode 45 of Make Money Count. In this episode, we break down a viewer question, and then explain how to get a mortgage as a self employed home buyer.
Every person has their own unique situation. It's important to find a mortgage broker that can look at exactly how you earn your money, and get you qualified for a mortgage. They will see how you can verify your income. The broker will see how much equity you have in your home. And they find the situation-specific factors which get the best borrowing options for you. In the end, it always comes down to reducing your weighted-average cost of capital (WACC), and lowering the cost of your debts.
Marcus and Justin also answer a listener's question about what the main reasons for Canada's inflation are. Are they carbon tax implementations or record-high imigration? Unlikely. The carbon tax and cancellation of the Keystone XL pipeline were not enough to bring on global inflation on their own. Immigration will contribute in a positive way in Canada because it brings more workers into our economy and that will fight the recession. The reasons for inflation are much more global than they are domestic. Inflation is a global issue, not specific to Canada.
Why do I need a mortgage broker?
If you have gone to different mortgage lenders in the past and they have all said no, you need to speak with a mortgage professional. Someone who has your best interests in mind and knows how to navigate this new high interest rate environment. They will answer questions like: Is the best course of action a refinance? What's the difference between A HELOC from a B-lender, and private 2nd mortgage? And how do I include more income on my application?
We dive into this and more. Have a listen to the episode to find out how to navigate the self-employed mortgage market.Click here to connect the the best mortgage brokers in Canada, Cannect Home Financing.Click here to invest in the Cannect Mortgage Investment Corporation.
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Thursday Sep 22, 2022
Inflation vs Deflation - Will The Housing Market Crash?
Thursday Sep 22, 2022
Thursday Sep 22, 2022
Toronto's best mortgage broker, Cannect Home Financing, returns with Canada's best Mortgage Podcast, Make Money Count. In this episode Marcus and Justin discuss the contrast of inflation vs. deflation. Is this a cycle going on for the last 100 years? How will this effect Canada's housing market?
Marcus and Justin also discuss the type of Government and Central Bank responses are used for different phases of the economic cycle. They examine the idea of the economy just needing a "catalyst" over the last few years, like a pandemic or a war, to bring the economy into troubling times. Have a listen to get the big picture.
1. Investors no longer believe we will have a "soft landing".
First, we were told that with all the money the federal government was handing out, inflation wasn't going to be a problem. Later that changed to it only being a slight problem. A transitory result of global supply chain issues. Then the central bankers said inflation is a real concern, but it can be addressed and corrected without putting the economy into a recession. Today they don't even believe that to be the case, and investors are responding.
Big business leaders like Elon Musk and Cathie Wood have stated that rates should be reduced again in order to prevent the economy going into a recession. It is clear that the longer these rate hikes continue, the worse our recession will be, and deflationary times.
2. The Cannect Mortgage Investment Corporation is in a strong position to lend money.
The health and security of a Mortgage Investment Corporation (MIC) completely depends on the quality of deals it contains. A lot of other MICs are currently in a tough position to lend more now. Cannect did an effective job at lending with caution and on a reduced scale. We were in a good position to lend now with reduced home values and increased interest rates.
Unfortunately, Home values will likely continue to drop and interest rates continue to rise. However, we feel more confident in the deals we fund today knowing that those home values have taken a beating. A lot of other lenders will be unable to lend with cash tied up. This will bring high-quality deals to Cannect's door step.
Click here to connect the the best mortgage brokers in Canada, Cannect Home Financing.Click here to invest in the Cannect Mortgage Investment Corporation.
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